Divination in practice – how well did I predict the 2021 sets

In the last couple of years, I have tried predicting what new LEGO Harry Potter sets that would be released. Back in February 2021, I wrote a post about what possible LEGO Harry Potter sets I expected to be released in mid-2021 (the January 2021 sets did take my by surprise). Now that 2021 has come and gone, I better take stock of how well I did…

I’m sure many of us have been pondering what new sets we might get in the future. To be honest, I’m not better at divination that Harry Potter (and he wasn’t good). And I’ve got no crystal ball nor tea leaves reading skills to assist. But I think it is fun to try, so I have kept up the tradition. For those interested, my 2022 predictions can be found here (and my divination skills in predicting the 2020 sets can be seen here). But this post is about my 2021 predictions.

Overall, I didn’t do well at all (which was a shame, as I really liked a lot of my ideas). I completely missed that we’d step back in time to celebrate 20 years of LEGO Harry Potter. Instead, I focused my suggestions on books 6 and 7, which hadn’t been well covered in the 2020 series of set. So I thought that was going to be the main focus in 2021.

Below is a list of what sets I predicted along with some commentary to each suggested set on how correct I was:

Hogwarts: Armour Gallery

Small add-on section to the modular Hogwarts Castle (similar to the 2020 set Room of Requirement) with a corridor with suits of armour. The set could include Professor McGonnagall, two suits of armour and one or two attacking dementors.

  • Divination score: Incorrect – There was no such set released – not even close. Which is really a shame – who wouldn’t like to yell Piertotum Locomotor!
A MOC I did last year: “Piertotum Locomotor – I’ve always wanted to use that spell”…

The Horcrux Cave

Medium sized set covering the scene in the Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince, where Professor Dumbledore and Harry Potter go searching for Salazar Slytherin’s locket, one of Voldemort’s horcruxes. This takes them to the small island in the Black Lake. But they are not alone in the cave, so Harry Potter and Dumbledore end up battling inferi (undead), of which 2-3 are included.

  • Divination score: Incorrect – There was no such set released – sadly.

Hogsmeade – Shrieking shack 

A medium sized set featuring the Shrieking shack. This would be a much overdue remake of the 2004 Shrieking Shack (set 4756). This would also be a good start of a Hogsmeade series (see further down), and include minifigures like Harry Potter, Remus Lupin, Sirius Black, Peter Pettigrew and Professor Snape.

  • Divination score: Incorrect – though we did see a return to Hogsmeade as noted further down! As no one was released, I ended up building my own Shrieking Shack (to go with the Hogsmeade I built earlier). Generally, when I build something, LEGO tend to release a similar set the following year (just saying…)
My own Shrieking Shack MOC, as described here.

Gringott’s Wizarding Bank

I really hope for this one – as the perfect supplement to the Diagon Alley set from 2020. While I think it would be awesome with a big set including the underground scenes as well, I think it is more likely to be more moderate in size and simply include the Gringott’s building itself and the Ukrainian Ironbelly dragon to place on top of the bank, as easier to integrate into last year’s Diagon Alley set. But I could be totally wrong here.

  • Divination score: Incorrect – I know many had been hoping for this one following the exclusive Diagon Alley set that was released back in 2020, which didn’t include Gringotts. Wonder if we’ll see such a set year? For now, I’ll use my own version, which also include a Ukrainian Ironbelly.
My custom Diagon Alley layout…

Hogwarts – The final battle

This large set could be the final addition to the modular Hogwarts Castle that LEGO stated releasing in 2018. Firstly, it should include the bridge, which was a key feature of the Battle of Hogwarts. Other parts of the castle could include the Room of Requirement in the “Room of Hidden Things” version (so you can go searching for Ravenclaw’s diadem, but don’t get caught by the Fiendfyre spell) and to give the model height, maybe the Divination tower (which relates to earlier movies, but haven’t featured otherwise on the previous Hogwarts sets). Key minifigures included in addition to Harry Potter and Voldemort could be Gregory Goyle and Vincent Crabbe (as we need updated figures of them), Neville Longbottom with the sword of Gryffindor fighting Nagini (also to be included) and not least Molly Weasley and Bellatrix Lestrange (“not my daughter, you b####”).

  • Divination score: Incorrect – We didn’t get another modular Hogwarts sets that fitted with the 2018-2020 series of sets, which many had hoped for. Instead we started on a new stackable “dollhouse” style series of Hogwarts sets, which may make it harder make a realistic looking Hogwarts, but we’ve seen a lot of fans starting to build their own rooms, which I think is great. My “Back to Hogwarts” MOC competition in 2021 covered that.

Kinetic model

The Hedwig model released in 2020 was very popular, so I hope they will release another kinetic display model, for example of a moving Snitch with a small stand with a Harry Potter minifigure in Quidditch dress to go with it.

  • Divination score: Mostly incorrect – We did get a kinetic model, but I had guessed it would be more different from last year’s Hedwig. Still, I really like the colourful model of Fawkes that was released instead.

Tri-wizard tournament

Medium sized set covering the second challenge (I think that is most likely, though we have never seen a third challenge set). This would be an underwater scene with Harry, Cedric, Ron and Cho along with a new version (way overdue) of the Merpeople.

  • Divination score: Incorrect – We didn’t get any such set as they all covered books 1-3. The old set 4762 Rescue from the Merpeople from 2005 could really use a refresh. Below is my expanded version of it, which I did for my post about the bubble-head charm

Hogsmeade main street

As a larger premium set (exclusive to select retailers in the various markets) I have settled for Hogsmeade as my best guess. This was one of my guesses for 2020 that didn’t happen, which I have carried over to this year’s list. It could include two of Hogsmeade’s iconic buildings: The Three Broomsticks and Honeydukes Sweetshop. Maybe a train station platform too (useful for any who has purchased the Hogwarts Express set). It would supplement the Shrieking Shack set I’ve suggested above well. As for Minifigures, it could have Harry, Ron and Hermoine as well as Cho Chang,who went to Hogsmeade on her first and only date with Harry (though that was at Madam Puddifoot’s Tea Shop), Madam Rosmerta (innkeeper) and Rita Skeeter (who often visited The Three Broomsticks).

  • Divination score: Correct – We did indeed (and should I say finally) get a Hogsmeade set (annoyingly just after I had decided to build my own Hogsmeade). Still, set 76388 – Hogsmeade Village visit was one of my favourite sets from last year, and I hope we’ll see expansions to it in 2022 (or beyond).
Set 76388 – Hogsmeade Village visit was one of the best LEGO Harry Potter sets in 2021 in my opinion

Other LEGO Harry Potter sets

I would also guess we’ll see a 2021 Advent calendar and maybe another Harry Potter themed Brickheadz set (or two). My best guess here is a dual set including Dobby (with diary and sock) and Lucius Malfoy. Both are iconic characters that go well together in a pack, and should be easily recognisable. Like the Hagrid and Buckbeak set in 2020, this could be gift-with-purchase set. Another possible option is Lord Voldemort as a single set.

Regardless of which scale to use to measure my divination performance, I did pretty bad. Terrible actually (I definitely didn’t get my O.W.L.), with only one right and a couple being right to a lesser extent. But that is to be expected, when the whole line is revamped.

As noted, I’ve already posted my 2022 predictions. Hopefully, I will get more right this time around. Time will tell…

Till then, Build the Magic!

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